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Modesto, CA

The Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom in Modesto, CA is $1,758 per month, ranking #117 out of 693 areas nationwide. The area median household income is $79,661, meaning a household spending Fair Market Rent on a 2-bedroom would pay 26.5% of income on housing. Rent in Modesto has increased 15.1% year over year. The area has a population of 552K, with 39% of households renting.

26.5%
Moderately Affordable
of income → rent
$1,758
2BR Fair Market Rent
vs $1,250 national median
$79,661
Median Income
vs $71,049 national
$1,528
Actual Median Rent
Census ACS estimate
+15.1%
Year-over-Year
2BR FMR change
552K
Population
Census ACS
39%
Renters
of occupied housing
$426,600
Median Home Value
4.2%
Vacancy Rate
of housing units
13.1%
Poverty Rate
below poverty line

Fair Market Rent by Bedroom Size

$1,255
Studio
$1,356
1 Bedroom
$1,758
2 Bedroom
$2,442
3 Bedroom
$2,823
4 Bedroom

Fair Market Rents (FMRs) are set annually by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and represent the 40th percentile of gross rents for standard-quality units in an area. FMRs are used to determine payment standards for the Housing Choice Voucher program and other federal housing assistance.

Housing Affordability

In Modesto, CA, a household earning the area median income of $79,661 would spend 26.5% of their gross income on a 2-bedroom at Fair Market Rent. This falls below HUD's 30% cost-burden threshold, meaning housing is relatively affordable for median-income households in this area.

Income Needed for 2BR
$70,320
annual (30% threshold)
Hourly Wage Needed
$34
full-time (2,080 hrs/yr)
Actual Median Rent
$1,528
$230 below FMR

5-Year Rent Trend

+43.6% since 2021
$1,2242021$1,2502022$1,3652023$1,5282024$1,5662025$1,7582026

2-bedroom Fair Market Rent by fiscal year. Source: HUD FMR API.

Minimum Wage Affordability

The minimum wage in California is $16.50/hr. A minimum-wage worker would need to work 82 hours per week to afford a 2-bedroom at Fair Market Rent without exceeding 30% of income on housing. This means a single minimum-wage earner cannot afford a 2-bedroom working a standard 40-hour week. The poverty rate in Modesto is 13.1%, near the national average of approximately 12.4%.

State Min Wage
$16.50/hr
Hours/Week Needed
82 hrs
Poverty Rate
13.1%

Housing Market Context

The median home value in Modesto is $426,600. At a median income of $79,661, this represents a price-to-income ratio of 5.4x. 4.2% of housing units in the area are vacant, which is below the national average and suggests a tight housing market.

Rent vs. Buy
$2,986 est. mortgage
vs $1,758 FMR rent
Vacancy Rate
4.2%
of housing units

Other Areas in California

Santa Cruz-Watsonville
$4,214/mo
2BR FMR · 46.3% burden
San Francisco
$3,604/mo
2BR FMR · 32.3% burden
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara
$3,483/mo
2BR FMR · 26.5% burden
Santa Ana-Anaheim-Irvine
$3,236/mo
2BR FMR · 41.5% burden
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara
$3,124/mo
2BR FMR · 39.1% burden

Compare Modesto

vs Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CAvs San Francisco, CAvs San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA

Areas With Similar Rent to Modesto

Frequently Asked Questions

The HUD Fair Market Rent for a 2-bedroom in Modesto, CA is $1,758 per month. A studio is $1,255/mo, a 1-bedroom is $1,356/mo, and a 3-bedroom is $2,442/mo. The actual median gross rent from Census data is $1,528/mo.

Modesto has a rent burden of 26.5%, meaning a household earning the median income of $79,661 would spend 26.5% of income on a 2-bedroom at Fair Market Rent. This is below HUD's 30% cost-burden threshold, indicating relatively affordable housing. To afford a 2-bedroom without being cost-burdened, a household would need an annual income of at least $70,320.

Modesto's 2-bedroom Fair Market Rent of $1,758/mo is $508 above the national median of $1,250/mo. Modesto ranks #117 out of 693 areas for highest rent in the United States.

To afford a 2-bedroom at Fair Market Rent in Modesto without spending more than 30% of income on housing, you would need an annual household income of at least $70,320, or a full-time hourly wage of $34/hour. The area median income is $79,661.

The 2-bedroom Fair Market Rent in Modesto increased by 15.1% compared to the prior year. This is a significant increase, suggesting growing demand in the local housing market.

Fair Market Rents represent the 40th percentile of gross rents for standard-quality rental units. Rent burden is calculated as annual 2BR FMR divided by area median household income. Census data (income, home value, population, vacancy) is from the ACS 5-Year estimates. Unemployment rates are from BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics.